UNHCR

Early Warning Risk Modeling of Climate-Induced Forced Displacement

© UNOCHA | Giles Clarke

ABOUT

CLIFEDEW-GRID, developed by UNHCR in collaboration with the University of California Irvine, is an ambitious initiative dedicated to addressing the complex challenge of climate-induced forced displacement, including through the first risk index of its kind. This project leverages advanced data analytics and innovative approaches to empower CRAF’d ecosystem partners to anticipate and respond effectively to the growing crisis of climate-induced displacement. By forecasting subnational granularity, the project will better accommodate in-country heterogeneity than traditional country-level approaches. It will be piloted for countries in Western and Eastern Africa.

West & East Africa

$500,000

24 months

PROJECT

PROVIDE

A Risk Monitor with real-time insights into evolving climate-related displacement risks to better anticipate, prevent, and respond to crises.

BUILD

A sub-national predictive model focusing to a better understand which populations are most at risk of displacement.

FACILITATE

User-centric data exploration through an open-source web interface designed for immersive data exploration and feedback collection.

IMPACT AT SCALE

With support from CRAF'd, UNHCR will embark on a transformative journey. The CLIFDEW-GRID project aims to reshape the way CRAF’d ecosystem partners address climate-induced forced displacement, enabling them to act more precisely and effectively.

Unlike conventional approaches, the project focuses on sub-national predictive modeling, focusing on the intricate dynamics of slow-onset climate hazards at a local level. Combining UNHCR's registration data, remote sensing insights, and organic data sources will create a predictive model that anticipates displacement risks and provides a nuanced understanding of vulnerability factors.

This innovative approach promises to elevate humanitarian efforts, profoundly impacting the communities served and enhancing their resilience in the face of climate-related challenges.

100

Stakeholders that use CLIFDEW-GRID tools for anticipating and responding to climate-induced displacement.

300

Users per month that leverage CLIFDEW-GRID tools for decision-making, resource allocation and programming.

500

Participants in capacity building initiatives as part of this project.

UPDATES

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